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QCP: 비트코인(BTC)과 이더리움(ETH)이 각각 9만 2천 달러와 3,100달러를 돌파하며 암호화폐 시장이 12월의 횡보세를 벗어났고, 이는 전반적인 위험선호 움직임과 일맥상통합니다. 세금 손실 매도세 약화와 정책 선택권 확대가 이러한 움직임을 뒷받침하며 정권 교체의 조짐을 보이고 있습니다. 베네수엘라 관련 소식들이 이러한 분위기를 더욱 강화했고, 풋옵션 매수 편향이 줄어들고 2026년 1월 만기 10만 달러 콜옵션 수요가 증가하면서 옵션 거래 흐름도 더욱 긍정적으로 바뀌었습니다. https://t.me/QCPbroadcast/1531
QCP Broadcast
QCP Asia Colour, 5 January 2026 Regime Change: From Caracas to Crypto After a range-bound December, crypto broke higher in early Asia, with BTC and ETH clearing $92k and $3,100. The move landed alongside firmer equities and softer oil, with markets also digesting the U.S. special forces operation that captured Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, now headed for U.S. court. Crypto’s alignment with broader risk assets is looking less like a coincidence and more like a regime shift to start the year, helped by year-end tax loss harvesting fading and policy optionality back on the radar. The Venezuela angle adds a second-order kicker. The disinflationary impulse from lower oil prices is straightforward. The less tidy part is the chatter around a potential Venezuelan “shadow” BTC reserve. With disinformation already swirling, treat reserve headlines with caution. Still, the strategic frame is hard to ignore: if any seized coins are retained, not liquidated, it tightens the market’s sovereign-accumulation narrative. Options…
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