QCP: BTC 변동성은 이제 4월까지 풋에 유리하게 기울어져 상승 촉매가 부족함을 반영합니다. 피드백 루프가 나타나고 있습니다. 시장 반응에 매우 민감한 트럼프 대통령은 점점 더 자신의 허세를 부르는 시장에 직면해 있습니다. 이는 그를 더욱 대담하게 만들어 또 다른 변동성 층을 추가할 수 있습니다.
https://t.me/QCPbroadcast/1407
QCP Asia Colour – 10 February 25
This Monday continues to set the week's tone—following DeepSeek’s move two weeks ago and last week’s tariff-driven volatility. This time, Trump’s announcement of a 25% levy on steel and aluminum briefly unsettled markets ahead of Powell’s testimony and CPI data.
With Mexico and Canada among the top three U.S. suppliers, the tariffs cast doubt on last week’s temporary delay and could reignite trade tensions. Adding to the uncertainty, Trump’s remarks on potential sanctions against Japan—a key U.S. ally—follow the White House’s move to block Nippon Steel’s takeover of U.S. Steel.
Commodities were largely unchanged, while Asian equities dipped, and BTC briefly dropped to $95K before rebounding—suggesting a sentiment-driven move rather than a fundamental shift in risk appetite. BTC volatility now skews in favor of puts until April, reflecting a lack of upside catalysts.
A feedback loop is emerging—President Trump, highly sensitive to market reactions, is facing a…
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